Tuesday, September 15, 2015

The Death of Fantasy Football

A friend of mine pours the last few drops from the pitcher of beer sitting on the table.  Here we are chillin' out at the local establishment drafting our annual fantasy football team.  Sure we play for a few bucks, but in reality we'd play for fun and have no issues with that at all because it is about something bigger than money.  It's about bragging rights...its' about me beating you...head to head, man to man, you are a chump if you think you can take me kinda action.  Well, it used to be that way...now fantasy football is becoming a way to make a living.  It's becoming non stop ads for fan duel and draft kings showing dudes wearing snap back hats and dress shirts holding giant checks like the ones seen in Happy Gilmore and Publishers Clearing House commercials.   No longer can you watch some fantasy football show on Sunday morning without getting your daily fantasy football advice.  When you listen to XM Fantasy Sports radio regardless of the program they are all sponsored by the daily sports companies that promote how "easy" it is to get your piece of the action.  In fact most of the advice now centrals around daily and not towards the game that we started playing so many years ago.  FF has become an industry dominated by professional gamblers.  Money may not be the root of all evil but it is ushering in the death of fantasy football as we know it.  I have researched the names of the guys that win these big tournaments and most of them are gamblers.  One guy getting ready for a million dollar tournament with a $5 buy in per team bragged about the 3 grand he dropped building different teams using different scenarios.  Sure, this does not guarantee that he will win, but it sorta defeats the purpose of putting in an entry to go against these gamblers.  Think about it this way...if he gets money and you don't did he beat you at "fantasy football" or did he manipulate a numbers game...a system that promotes overwhelming statistical probability over simply building a better lineup than your opponent?  In closing I am not saying don't play daily.  There are leagues out there that are harder to find that limits the number of entries.   Just don't be fooled to think that it's a fair process or in the spirit of what we know to be fantasy football.  Gotta run, a new pitcher is on the way over and the wings are coming out.

Wes Ramsey

Sunday, July 12, 2015

Team by Team PPR Running Back Notes

Here is some good information for you on how player movement and coaching tendencies affect PPR values.

1. New Orleans Saints -- 166. C.J. Spiller, welcome back into our good graces.
2. Detroit Lions -- 165. Offense run by ex-Saints assistant. Hello, Ameer Abdullah.
3. Oakland Raiders -- 160. Pretty heavily skewed by FB Marcel Reece's 59 targets.
4. Buffalo Bills -- 154. New OC Greg Roman's 2014 49ers ranked 31st in RB targets.
5. Chicago Bears -- 137. Marc Trestman gone. Adam Gase's Broncos ranked 23rd.
6. Kansas City Chiefs -- 136. Alex Smith + Andy Reid + Jamaal Charles = RB targets.
7. Atlanta Falcons -- 133. May be more useful for TB. Koetter throws to his backs.
8. Pittsburgh Steelers -- 132. Le'Veon Bell had 6+ targets in 12 games last year.
9. Cincinnati Bengals -- 121. Both Jeremy Hill & Giovani Bernard can catch.
10. Minnesota Vikings -- 118. A good omen for Adrian Peterson's catch total.
11. St. Louis Rams -- 116. There was a lot of Benny Cunningham (52 targets).
12. Indianapolis Colts -- 114. Frank Gore's 2014 49ers ranked 31st in RB targets.
13. Arizona Cardinals -- 111. Both Andre Ellington and David Johnson can catch.
14. San Diego Chargers -- 110. Keep in mind this was without Danny Woodhead.
15. Baltimore Ravens -- 108. May be more applicable to this year's Broncos.
15. New England Patriots -- 108. Gone is Shane Vereen, who had 77 targets. Who steps in?
17. Washington Redskins -- 104. Roy Helu (47 targets) gone. Alfred Morris had 26.
18. Philadelphia Eagles -- 102. Actually up from Chip's first year (only 82 RB targets).
18. Miami Dolphins -- 102. Offense run by Chip disciple; Exact same RB targets.
20. Jacksonville Jaguars -- 101. Now coordinated by Greg Olson, who came from OAK.
21. New York Giants -- 100. Should rise after Giants signed Shane Vereen.
21. Tennessee Titans -- 100. Dexter McCluster & Leon Washington combined for 67.
23. Denver Broncos -- 98. OC Adam Gase replaced by Gary Kubiak/Rick Dennison.
24. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -- 94. Outgoing OC Marcus Arroyo replaced by Dirk Koetter.
25. Dallas Cowboys -- 92. Will likely throw more this season, raising RB targets.
26. Green Bay Packers -- 90. Packers finished 24th in offensive plays.
26. Houston Texans -- 90. Were heavily run committed and will remain so.
28. New York Jets -- 81. May be irrelevant with Chan Gailey hired as OC.
29. Seattle Seahawks -- 74. Seahawks ranked 32nd in 2014 team pass attempts.
30. Carolina Panthers -- 68. Cam Newton is not a checkdown quarterback.
31. San Francisco 49ers -- 64. Applicable for BUF. Note: FB Bruce Miller had 25.
32. Cleveland Browns -- 48. A leap to expect big catch total for Duke Johnson.

courtesy RotoWorld

Monday, March 2, 2015

Break Time...

We are going to take a little break until the NFL draft gets a bit closer then we will begin to break that down.  We have a history of giving you insight on the new kids coming into the league that has paid off during the fantasy football season...so stay tuned.  While everyone talks Winston and Mariota we'll be looking at that 5th round running back that could boost your team to a championship.  This summer we will do our yearly "New Faces In New Places" article.  In this piece we let you in on what we know about how new players on new teams will increase or decrease their fantasy value.  

Many of your are gearing up for Fantasy Baseball.  I may post a mock draft here soon or a link to a trusted source...but that will likely be the only coverage we give to the sport this season unless we have someone step forward wanting to do some baseball writing.  At this point I just don't have the time or resources to get that done.  Until next time...