Thursday, February 3, 2011

Place Your Bets: SUPERBOWL addition!

Well boys and girls we have arrived at the pinnacle of gridiron greatness, the Superbowl! As I predicted it is the Pack vs Pitt. Right now the spread is 2.5 points in Pittsburgh's favor. (Pitt +2.5). I believe this spread is primarily being used because Green Bay is listed as the "home team" because it is being played in Dallas, an NFC city. There has also been a lot of hype around the injury to the offensive line of the Steelers, in particular M. Pouncey.

I think these teams are very closely rated. When they are so similar, injuries can make the "number" move. Pouncey has said he will play and Troy Polamalu is also healthy, but both are an injury risk during the game. When you look at the teams it is hard to predict who will win other then gut feelings. I have been on the Packers since the beginning of the playoffs when I predicted Pack vs Pats in the Bowl, so I pick the Packers to win the game. The 2.5 spread also favors the Packers in a close game as all they need to do is win by a FG to hit on the number. I like the Pack to win and cover. The offensive line of Pittsburgh is banged up. Although Pittsburgh running attack matches up well vs the aggressive 3-4 the Packers run, I believe there are too many obstacles that the Steelers face in order to win this game.

The Steelers run game is much better then the Packers ground game, but the passing game is better for the team in gold and green. Both defenses will cause major problems, so I do believe it will be low-scoring. Most experts like the over because the number is fairly small, however I like this under (44.5). Both of the championship games were under this number's total easily, now the two winning defenses play each other, it will be a low scoring affair, my prediction: Green Bay 21 Pittsburgh 17. Take Green Bay (-2.5) and the under (44.5). Have a great off season and stayed tuned for my American league baseball preview " At a Glance". It will take the same form as Deadhead Bill's NL version. It's been fun!

Paulzilla

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