Thursday, December 2, 2010

THE PREP WEEK 13 PART 2


THE PREP WEEK 13 - Part 2


Buffalo at Minnesota
This has the makings of a high scoring game. Fitzpatrick has been putting up good numbers vs suspect defenses this season. What makes this game a tough call is that Minnesota's new approach seems to be aimed at stopping Farve from beating them by running the ball and shortening games rather than letting us partake in the fantasy goodness that has been the Farve era. This leaves the player values of Sidney Rice, Percy Harvin and V.Shiancoe in limbo. I can't see not starting these guys vs. Buffalo, but if they aren't going to throw the ball they go from guaranteed great starts to starts with a big asterisk. AP is hurting this week and either won't play or he will split carries with Toby Gerhart (who is a good play this week even if he splits duties). If you can't start Farve here then you may as well dump the guy. I am betting the Bills score their share of pts and force the Vikes to rev up the old man and his weapons.
I am Sitting AP this week...just not worth the goose egg.
Sit - Bernard
Berrian (inactive last week)
Bill's Starts -
FreddyJax - I said weeks ago on the blog and in some tweets to hold onto Fred because his time was coming(I know I stashed him away in several leagues). All of you who did the same are reaping some great starts and this one should be no different.
Start - Steve Johnson - Now that Steve and God have worked things out expect SJ to haul in some long passes in the dome on Sunday.
High Risk Start/Sit - Lee Evans - In most leagues I sit this guy down, but I am in a few deeper leagues where I am going to play Lee this week...I have a feeling he may have a 65
yds rec and a touch this week, but it's hard to depend on this guy who rarely seems to bring his A game.
Super Sleeper - D.Jones - the rook
WR has some wheels and can be dangerous on special teams and in the slot.
Sit - Buffalo
TE's and CJ Spiller

Carolina at Seattle
Seattles DST just gets worse as the weeks pass by. Close to the bottom of the league in rushing and passing defense makes their early successes at home a distant memory.
Seattle Starts
Hasselback, B.Obomanu (is getting the targets and making the plays for QB Matt Hasselback)
Sit - Mike Williams (was inactive last week with and injury) Deon Butler(nice
skilz, just not enough looks) Sit J.Forsett(a major league disappointment this year in ppr circles)
Fringe Start -
Marshawn Lynch.
Carolina Starts -
James Stewart is a good start this week...finally he looked good running the rock last week.
In
ppr's Mike Goodson will still catch enough balls to be viable.
Sit all Carolina
WR's...the passing game is a wreck for the Panthers with Jimmy Clausen destroying the value of Steve Smith and a good young corp of WRs (Gettis and LaFell)

Dallas and Indy
Dallas Starts - Felix Jones - No Barber means Felix gets the rock and when this happened last year at the end of the year Jones had some huge games.
Start - Miles Austin(targets are down sans
Romo) and Dez Bryant(stinker last week, will be back in full effect this week) Start Jason Witten.
Fringe Start - J.
Kitna - not a great play on the road but he has enough weapons to be decent this week...250 and 2 td's.
Sit - Roy Williams - trying to predict what this guy will do is painstaking..I refuse to own him.
Sleeper Alert -
Tashard Choice - will see carries this week, some like him more than others. Could vulture a td in this one.
Indy - Sports media is doubting Peyton Manning this week after the San Diego debacle....don't...sit back this week and watch the points go up.
Start - A.Collie(should be back this week) Start Wayne, who doesn't look great this year, but is still a low end no.1
WR. Start J.Tamme - as valueable as a TE as you can have right now.
Sit P.Garcon and Blair White and the colts running game unless J.
Addai is ready this week. Stay tuned to injury reports for that info. Note - Mike Hart also back at practice this week so who will play and how much is a mystery, stay away.

Denver at KC
Denver Starts -
Knowshon Moreno has been great since he returned from his early season injury trouble...he does it all in this offense. Start K.Orton but temper expectations on him he is a lower tier QB play this week. Gotta start B.Lloyd...what a monster he's been.
Sit -
Gaffney and Eddie Royal and Denver TE's.
KC starts - M.
Cassell - a popular wire pickup this week, threw for over 400 vs Denver earlier this year...don't expect more than 250 this time around, but should have at least a td probably to mr.automatic Dwayne Bowe. The real damage is gonna be done by Charles and T.Jones this week...both will reach the end zone start in all formats.

Chicago at Detroit
Chi-town Starts: Jay
Cutler...love this start this week. Start J.Knox as well after watching Branch who isn't near as fast as Knox run all over the Lions on Turkey day.
Fringe Start - D.Hester - a poor tackling secondary could get Hester loose, but he is a risky play and there are prob better options out there.
Start - Matt Forte - don't expect huge numbers but he will play well and should score.
Sleeper - Earl Bennett scored twice last week...he may have room for one more red zone look this week. Jay looks for him often in the painted area due to his size.
Start - G.Olsen - has been
sporadic but there should be plenty to go around at Detroit.
Lions Starts - Shaun Hill is the Rodney Dangerfield of backup
QB's but he gets the job done...well from a fantasy perspective...and he should be good for 275 and 2 TD's as the Lions will be forced to pass the rock on Sunday because they won't be able to run.
Start - B.Pettigrew...has become a nice player at the TE position in his second season out of Okla. St.
Sit -
Jahvid Best...if you aren't in a keeper league do yourself a favor and drop him...his toe has ruined his rookie season. If you have to play a Lion RB play M.Morris who will catch some balls for you and is not bad in the red zone. Sit - A.Brown...got some carries last week, but won't be viable this week. Sit - Nate Burleson(except in deeper leagues, 14 and larger)

Saints at Bengals
Who
dat gonna stop those Bengals....Who Dat, Who Dat??? Well that's easy, they stop themselves with a pathetic defense that was one of the best in the league last year(hmm effort problems maybe?) Or how about rag arm Carson Palmer, this guy is done...his shoulder is mush...this team is much.
Start Cedric Benson who should run well inside this week.
Start T.Owens...ya gotta love
TO's effort this year...he's guaranteed himself a nice contract next year. Sit - 85 - another player I just hate to own.
Sleeper - Jermaine Gresham
Saints Starts- Doesn't it seem that every week the Saints are playing a bad team...they have certainly had the easiest schedule I can remember any team playing so far. The thing is they don't always pound these weak teams like they are suppose to...this week they should roll...we'll see.
Start -
Brees of course, Coleston hasn't got in the endzone many times this year, but I expect one this week and over 100 yds receiving.
Start - Chris Ivory (PT Cruiser is out of the garage but still limited so Chris should see the bulk of the action this week with a little Reggie Bush sprinkled in for good measure.
Reggie is a Fringe start because he looked very rusty last week and almost cost them the game with his play.
Sit -
Devery Henderson and Meachum and Shockey who could be back this week.
Sleeper - Rookie TE Jimmy Graham - he is the future at TE for the Saints.

Niners at Gbay
Niners fans do me a favor and Sit Brian Westbrook this week...across fantasy land people are getting their panties in a wad over his 135 performance. Brian is a talent...he is serviceable, but A.Dixon is going to be at this mix especially at the goal line to limit hits on Westbrook. I can still see starting Westbrook in a ppr because I can see the Niners getting behind big in this game.
Start - M.Crabtree...has been finding the
endzone alot of late
Risk Reward Start - A.Dixon - super risky start could yield a
td and 50 plus yds.
Sit Troy Smith - looked awful in the second half vs a bad Arizona Defense...will be chased all day by the Packers aggressive pass rush. Sit Josh Morgan and V.Davis(except in ppr leagues).
Packer Starts - Packer DST, Greg Jennings and James Jones
Sit - Brandon Jackson - can this guy get any worse than he is...last week Rodgers is running it inside the 5 yd line three different times risking injury....stupid play calling by the Packers. They need to give this Nance kid more run to see what he can do. I guess he probably can't pass block so he sits
alot. Sit - Gbay TE's and D.Driver who has been worthless since the Quad problem.
Sleeper -
Jordy Nelson - dependable WR worth a look in some deeper leagues.

Ryan will be doing the Monday Night Match Up feature in the coming days...stay tuned for that...and good luck to you all in your quest for the fantasy playoffs...let me know what you think of this week's Prep.
Wes/Show

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