Thursday, September 30, 2010

WEEK 4 PREP - MATCHUP CAPSULES


NFL WEEK 4 PREP

After week 1 and 2 we had it all figured out...our busts, our breakout guys...we were into a groove..... and then came week 3. It seemed like there was some kind of reality check for fantasy owners when every player that we waited to score in week 1 and 2 but didn't, all of the sudden decided to score in week 3(can't tell I minored in English after that sentence). Studs like M.Turner came off an injury to have monster days. Players we forgot about, tucked away on waiver wires across the country like Lance Moore had huge numbers. And players we had banked on from the beginning only to treat us to 0-2 starts gave us hope...thank you Mr.Flacco for finding another week 3 breakout star, A.Boldin 3 times on the day. So, what surprises will Week 4 hold? A Lee Evans touchdown perhaps, nah, let's not get carried away. To help you be a little less surprised...it's time for the Prep. (again, I will try to stay away from the every week starts like Manning and Brady)

Jets vs. Bills
Jets Starts - M.Sanchez, LT, Shonn Greene(if he can't score vs. the bill's...we've got problems) Braylon Edwards as a wr3 (seems to have a knack for the big play) and Cotchery may get some love as well vs a Bills team that doesn't play alot of defense.
Sit - D.Keller - can't see him having a game like he had last week...I think the RB's will get the short td's.
Bill's Starts - CJ Spiller - This kid is explosive...hopefully the Bill's staff got the message after he blew up last week. Week 2's, 1 touch was pathetic. Also huge in the return game.
Bill's Sits - Fitzpatrick, Lee Evans(on the milk carton)

Bengals vs Browns
Bengals Starts - Carson Palmer(tell me this guy is not this bad) T.Owens(ditto, score or I am dropping in all formats)
Bigtime - Chad Ocho-Cinco should go off Sunday.
Also start Cedric Benson.
Sit - J.Gresham - too inconsistent right now with suspect QB play.
Browns Starts - Peyton Hillis = warrior - 144 yds vs the Ravens last week - Mad props! Also start J.Cribbs - the only guy on that team that loves being a Brown.
Sits - Jake Delhomme, Massaquoi(reports have him auditioning for "Missing in Action IV" with Chuck Norris shooting informercials Massaquoi would fit the role perfectly after the last two weeks.
Fringe Start - Ben Watson - sneaky feeling he could score this week.

Ravens vs Steelers
Ravens Starts - Ray Rice - he's gonna play and if he does play him they can't trust Flacco vs. this defense so Ray Ray will get his touches and do well.(have McGahee ready just in case)
Start Boldin, big strong WR that can run the short tough routes
Sit - Mason and TJ - Neither get out of their breaks well...Flacco will be pressured and looking to throw quickly. Sit Heap too if you have other options.
Steeler Starts - Mendenhall - The Steelers will show patience and plow Mendenhall all game long. Also start Hines Ward.
Sit - Mike Wallace - don't like him this week and Sit H.Miller as well.

Broncos vs Tenn
Broncos Starts - Kyle Orton - you almost have to run this guy out cause they throw the ball so much he is gonna put up numbers. The Broncs don't run alot, but with Knowshon Moreno looking to be out again this week when they do run they seem to be roling with Maroney over the rest so he may get you 65 and a score if you are lucky.
Fringe Start - Brandon Lloyd and Gaffney
Sit - Eddie Royal and Demaryius Thomas(not sure about that wrist he hurt last week, if I hear he is ok and gets a start he moves to start territory)
Sit - Buckhalter - just not getting enough looks.
Start - Vince Young...yes I said it! If you are ever going to use this guy(and I won't cause I don't draft or pickup this guy), but if you have him this is as good a time as any to play him cause everyone throws on the Broncos. Cold get you 200 and 2tds, maybe a Nate Wash. strike and a screen to CJ. Serviceable.
Start - Nate Washington
Sit - Britt (how bad has he been?) and the rest of the Titans WRs
note - Tenn's DST gets alot of turnovers and can get to the QB as well, never a bad play.

Lions vs Packers
Lions Starts - Jahvid Best, if healthy. If he doesn't Maurice Morris is worth a look in ppr formats.
Fringe Start - Shaun Hill - If you are on a bye week you could do worse...this guy has a very nice record as a starter and has some weapons.
Sit - Burleson - injured last two weeks.
Sit - Sheffler
Packers Starts - B.Jackson - if dude can't get off this week, the Pack will have to make a move. Not the feature the Pack need to truly contend.
Start - Driver and Finley, everyone say "YES" we are playin the Lions.
Deeeeep League Start - James Jones - Garbage time stud?

SF vs the ATL
Frisco Starts - This week Frank Gore comes to play. Gore owners do not despair...he is getting the looks and will get it rollin'.
Fringe Start - Alex Smith - May be serviceable this week.
Sit - Crabtree - has been sucktacular, would almost rather have Josh Morgan.
Start - V.Davis..scores this week.
Dirty Bird Starts - Matty Ice and his boy Roddy will do more damage this week.
Start - Turner, not a huge game but should score and hover around 100yds
Fringe Start - Snelling may get some goalline luv in this one.
Sit - M.Jenkins, back from Injury and Tony Gonzalez...good SF Lb's won't let him get off this week.

Panthers vs DaChamps(Saints)
Saints Starts - PT Cruiser is in the garage and is the dreaded GTD as of right now. Stay tuned on this one.
Start - Colston and L.Moore (breakout week for Colston is possible here)
Sit - Meachum (on the milk carton), Sit Devery Henderson.
Fringe Start - Shockey, suddenly looking sorta viable.
Panther Starts - DeAngelo Williams and James Stewart - M.Turner ran through the Saints like Mexican food last week so expect a big dose of physical play by Carolina to protect the rook Clausen.
Start - kinda have to roll out Steve Smith if you have him.
Keep and eye on - Brandon Lafell - kid's got game and will show it once Clausen get's comfy in that offense.

Seahawks vs Rams (upset alert!)
Seahawk Starts - J.Forsett - should have a nice game. If return yds are in play you have to roll out Leon Washington cause the Rams have bad KR coverage.
TE Carlson - good TE's always hurt STL.
Sit - Seahawk WR's - who's the go to guy here??? Like Butler if he'd only get more targets.
Sit - Hasselbeck - I refuse to believe this guy can carry this team and he will be hit and hit hard all game.
Rams Starts - Sam Bradford the rook is beyond his years..wait til he gets a real WR weapon. Start - Mark Clayton, clearly the best of the bunch at WR.
Start - Stephen Jackson if healthy and if not play Kenneth "Terrance Trent" Darby.
Fringe start - Amendola - Like his matchup this week.
Sit - Rams other WRs and TE Fells.

Colts vs Jags
Colts Starts - Austin "Don't call me Lassie" Collie - our of nowhere this guy is Peyton's main man, if you drafted this guy...I knight you "Lord Awesomeness..ness" nice call.
Also Start Addai - I really like Addai this week.
Sit - Garcon - gotta wait til we see him healthy
Sit - the Blair White Project until we see him have more than one freak score.
Jags Starts - MJD and M.Sims-Walker, Bench everyone else.
Note to Garrard - David you have cost Jack Del Rio his job(trust me on this), he believed in you & got the organization to believe...what in the name of Tim Tebow were they all thinking.
Fringe Start - M.Lewis - every couple week's this guy gives us something to cheer for then crushes our hopes in following weeks.

Texans vs Oakland
I actually think this could be a good game. The raiders are doing well with Gradkowski, Mcfadden, Louis Murphy(my sleeper supreme so far this year) and Z.Miller. I'd start them all here.
Texans Starts - Hey Houston, I know who your favorite 80's band is, The Pretenders.
BigTime Start!!! Arian Foster - They are gonna run this guy til' his legs crumple this week...expect 30 carries and a monster day. 150 yds and 2 tds possible.
Start - K.Walter
Fringe Starts - Jacoby Jones
Now to business - I am saying SIT Andre Johnson - now don't sit him for Seattle's Mike Williams or Oaklands D.Heyward-Bey, but if you have a good WR2 you can roll with instead do it. Here's why - Ankle not withstanding, the last 3 games vs. the Oakland Raiders covered one on one by Nnamdi Asomugha Andre3000 has a grand total of 5 catches, 93yds and ZERO tds - TOTAL. Again, don't bench him unless you have a good start or a WR two on your pine, but i'd consider it, because the numbers don't lie and in those 3 games he didn't have an ankle injury he said himself is worse than it was when he first hurt it.

Skins and Eagles
Skins Starts - McNabb(karma start) - Not a McNabb fan this year, but you have to love him in this game, start him and Santana Moss and if you are in need of RB help look to Torain Green cause Portis is either not going to play or play sparely in this game.
Cooley should do well and I am starting him in leagues I have him.

Eagles Starts - Vick - as bad as the skins defense looked vs the rams last week...Vick's gonna have a field day. Can't wait til Vick plays a good defense so all this Vick hype will calm down.
Start - Lesean McCoy - the 2nd yr back outta Pitt looks like the real deal this year.
Start - Djax and Maclin
Sit - Celek (Celek now pretty much sucks in fantasy circles thanks to Vick who rarely checks down)

Cards vs. SuperChargers
Cards Starts - T.Hightower - Larry Fitzgerald (as bad as Derek Anderson is I now have to say start Larry, sad)
Cards Sit - Breaston(out 2 games) Doucet(battling injury, may play) Beanie Wells(until proven otherwise)

Chargers Start - Rivers and Gates looked awesome last week. M.Floyd is lookin' like a true No.1 and every week start. Ryan Matthews may play this week so keep an eye on that and how it may effect Tolbert's value in the offense. I will keep up on this and get you the info asap.
Fringe Start - Hello Patrick Crayton, got some good looks last week.
Sit - L.Naanee - I think he is a much better target that Crayton but is clearly way down the totem pole in priority on this team.
Sit - D.Sproles - team has totally left him out of the offense this year - odd. No Matthews, 1 rush, 1 catch week 3.

Bears vs Giants
Bears Starts - Forte, Cutler and Knox(like Knoxville this week)
Bears Sit - Hester(unless ret yds are involved), Aromashodu and E.Bennett (keep an eye on targets for these guys throughout the year cause the Martz offense show's no favorites...the ball goes to who is open)


Giants Start - For some reason I like Eli this week. He's a Manning isn't he? He has sparatic brilliant games...I say he shows up this week...bringing along his boys Nicks and Manningham.
Caution - S.Smith went high in drafts but has become a guy you start every week in pprs only. Let's hope he get's back to scoring, but until he does you must be careful in which format you roll him out and consider the match up.
Start - A. Bradshaw - looked great last week, can do it all.
Sit - Boss, Jacobs

The Monday Night Matchup will be covered separately in an article by Ryan, coming soon. Goodluck to you all in week 4 unless you are playin' me.

Wes









Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Key Players Injured


If you own Andre3000, P.T.Cruiser, Stephen Jackson, Ray Rice, Jahvid Best or Ryan Matthews you are headed down the stretch to week 4 not knowing if one of your key fantasy players is going to be available on Sunday. By late tomorrow night I will have the Week 4 Prep posted with not only Sit Start information, but also players you should have ready to roll out if you find yourself without one of your star players come game time. I'm chasing ambulances this week rounding up all the information on the players listed here and more. Don't forget to check out the blog game day morning or follow me on twitter at www.twitter.com/westheshow for all your Sunday injury information. If you have a player you want us to specifically address, for example a Pierre Garcon' who has been temporarily replaced by the Blair White Project, just put it in the comment section and we will make sure the Week 4 Prep contains that information.

Tuesday, September 28, 2010

Bonehead Play of the Week - Week #3 - Dallas Cowboys vs. Houston Texans

What is your 2:30 feeling like? Remember, it's the question that the popular energy drink 5-Hour Energy asks during its commercials. That is the question that thousands of fans wanted to ask the Head Referee during the Dallas Cowboys and Houston Texans game after an unnecessary roughness penalty. This dude should have slammed a 5-Hour Energy during halftime but if he did we wouldn't have enjoyed his attempt at explaining a multiple foul situation. I laughed so hard that I couldn't resist making it Week 3s Bonehead Play of the Week. Enjoy!

Monday, September 27, 2010

The Morning After Pill - Week 3

Ever wish you could just bumrush a young Michael J. Fox and jack his time-traveling Delorean? Aside from the obvious political incorrectness of such an act that would only be funny on Family Guy, who hasn’t?

Ok, so you’re thinking, “Last week you compared NutriSystem auditioner Rex Ryan and his organization to Jabba the Hut & his palace. Now you’re talking about assaulting a Parkinsons survivor. You’re a bigger ass than Collinsworth.” Well yeah, that may be, but just work with me on this. The point is, there is not a Tuesday morning fantasy-baller who has not at least once wished for a time machine. I also don’t think there is a Brett Favre who doesn’t share that wish.

Imagine, if you pilfered Marty McFly’s flux capacitor, you could tell your past self to start Charlie Batch and Mike Wallace over Lone-Star losers, Matt Schlub and Anklè Johnson. Who did that? If someone in your league did, check him for tachyon radiation, and if he comes up positive, give him a Marcus Vick special. Heck, stomp him anyway just for dumb luck. Yeah, I’m sore about starting Schaub and Jimmie Clausen in a two-QB league due to injury. Go ahead and laugh.

Speaking of all things Vick, he’s sure sharing the love with his pass-catchers, eh? That is, all of them except for Brent “Tom from Magnum P.I. would be better” Celek. Just think. You could go back and be among the 1% of managers in the game who started Tony Moeaki.

So you finally chose this week to bench Spiller? I feel your pain. All you have to do is hit 80mph, inject the plutonium, and you could reverse that decision, looking like a genius because you started Fitzpatrick too.

But we haven’t even scratched the surface mayhem we fantasy football zombies could unleash with a time machine. No, I’m not talking about pulling a clichĂ© “Biff Tannen” and giving your past-self a stat book to take to Vegas and make future-self filthy rich. That’s not what this is about. We fantasy-ballers aren’t that sophisticated, and are usually way too drunk to follow the logic anyway. No, this is about being able to say, “Yeah, I started Peyton Hillis in every league. Eat it, beeeeeotch!”

For instance, why only go back to last week? We could go back several years and save the fantasy world from ever drafting Kevan Barlow. World Peace is small potatoes. We could change the course of history and the domestic violence rate in our nation’s capital if someone took the delorean on a trip to Dan Snyder’s house and clubbed him until he promised not to trade away ‘Skins draft picks well into our grandchildren’s generation for T.J. Duckett and Albert Haynesworth. I could even go back and figure out a way to fix that run-on sentence. I’ll bet Sean Payton wishes he could take the delorean for a spin about 5 seconds back before icing a blocked kick. Smooth.

I’m actually convinced that this technology is actively being used, but maybe from our own future, and by very intelligent, benevolent beings. How else can one explain the cryptic, sudden, and almost complete disappearance of the sideline reporter? Yeah, we all hated them, and we don’t miss their useless, annoying presence. But where did they go? I think that someone in the future, say 2020, finally had enough. Perhaps the mixing booth missed the chance to show the greatest play in the history of the game because some sideline babe in a sensible leather jacket was interviewing receiving coach Hines Ward about how he encourages his receivers to get bikini waxes. “Yeah, Suzie. I tell them, ’If you take care of the balls down there, they’ll take care of the ones up… Wait, what just happened?'...” Meanwhile, a reverse-bootleg-play-action out of the wildcat ends up with a 99 yard catch & run TD as the clock runs out. Thanks, future-man, for coming back to our time and doing something about that menace so I can see that play live. I don’t know how you did it, and I really don’t care (as long as you don’t put Tony Korn-holer back on Monday Night Football).

On the other hand, if someone did go back and told the Tampa Bay staff to run Le Garrete Blount 25 times on Sunday, I wouldn’t be able to do my weekly serenade. Sing it with me again…

You don’t tug on Superman’s cape,
You don’t spit into the wind,
You don’t blah, blah, yada, drunken slur, something,
And you don’t run 100 yards on the Pittsburgh Steelers

So thanks for not doing that, future-dude, but you obviously did set off some sort of temporal paradox. Good thing the space-time continuum is self-healing like Anquan Boldin’s inhumanly regenerating jaw. How else do you explain this?:




Obviously, Troy was supposed to pick one Sunday, as usual, but something got messed up by all the time travel my weak opponents used to clean my clock. Good job fixing things, Universe.

Sunday, September 26, 2010

Our Facebook Page / Sunday AM Chats

Every Sunday morning Deadheadbill and I are on our facebook page discussing NFL Fantasy. www.facebook.com/showfantasysports You can post in the discussions section, comment on posts or discuss there in a thread and chat all the way up to game time. Lastly, don't forget our twitter feed with all the injury info you need for setting your lineups. The feed can be seen on the right side of our blog by refreshing your browser every so often or simply following me at www.twitter.com/westheshow

Wes

Saturday, September 25, 2010

Writer's Challenge Week 3

Each week Ryan, Deadheadbill and I pick 2 sleepers and compare our picks after the weekend's action is finished. Ryan is leading our competition followed by Bill and yes I reside in our basement. Post your two sleeps of the week and after the weekend we can compare to see who has the goods. The criteria remains the same, less than 50% of ownership in yahoo leagues. Bill will post our cumulitive scores for week's 1-3 after the weekend. Each manager will add his own comment's to the picks.



Ryan's (Fuzzyman) Sleepers

This week I am going to change it up with a 2 TE formation to fool the fantasy defenses.



Aaron Hernandez - TE - NE. This week I am going with the big rookie TE out of the University of Florida. He is really hitting it off with Tom Brady and looks to be the type of player to open up the field for Welker and Moss, especially against softer defenses (see what the Packers did to the Pats foe this week, the Bills, Rodgers completed 65% and had 250yds and 2 tds).

Projection: 5 catches 89 yds and a TD



Tony Moeki - TE - Chiefs. (5% owned) gotta hand it to Ryan here for this deep sleep pick. Again going with a rookie TE that has made a solid connection with his starting QB. Moeki has become an early favorite target of Matt Cassell. I wouldn't go so far to call him Tony Gonzalez, and I do have to realize that Cassell is throwing him the ball, which causes me to temper my expectations. By seasons end I expect the chiefs to have two 1000 yds rushers and a QB with 2000 yds passing and of that 2000 yds I expect Moeki to have 600+ yds if healthy and in the starting lineup. If you weren't lucky enough to grab one of the top 5-6 TE's Moeki would make make a nice grab especially in dynasty leagues.

Projection: 4 catches 57 yds & 1 TD



Show's Sleeps

Brad Tolbert - RB - SD Super Chargers - (owned in 33% of leagues at the time I am writing this), prob pushing 50% if Ryan sits) Ryan Matthews is battling a high ankle sprain and is doubtful for Sunday. The Chargers seem to have found a hammer in their running game and ya gotta love this kid in goalline situations.



Benjarvus Green-Ellis - RB - Pats. 3% owned at the time of my research BJE is kind've a reach into the abyss that is the Pats running game. Let's hope the RB with the six syllable name gets me 6 on Sunday.



Deadheadbill's Sleeps

I thought long and hard about the risk/reward play that comes along with my first pick. Until I see a bad game vs Detroit in week 3 I think Farve has more than a chance at getting back into a groove based on experience alone. With Rice out til the second half and Berrian playing statistical hide and seek , something tells me that Brett will need a deep threat this weekend to compliment AP and Shiancoe. With this matchup I think that threat could be my guy so with my first sleeper pick I take Greg Camarillo, WR Vikings. If the old gunslinger looks his way enough he could be in for 70-80 yards and maybe even a touchdown.



After seeing Ryan's picks I wanted to keep up with the TE theme. The TE I like this week as a sneaky play is Jermaine Gresham, TE, Bengals. Even though this is a road game I like his chances vs a defense that can be picked apart by an accurate QB and Palmer(who can be inconsistent at times) looks to have a big game giving Gresham a great shot at 50 yds and a td.



Thanks to Ryan and Bill for their picks. Let's see what kinda picks the readers have for us this week.

Playmakers and Benchwarmers - Week 3 Monday Night Madness

This is going to be a great matchup. You’ve got one of the early season surprise teams in Chicago against one of the popular and sexy Super Bowl picks in the Green Bay Packers. Both teams will roll into Soldier Field on Monday night with identical 2-0 records. Both feature high powered offenses and while the Pack haven’t put up the yardage numbers the Bears have early on, the Packers are third in the NFL in scoring after 2 weeks averaging over 30 points per contest thus far.


Absolute Lock Starts :

Aaron Rodgers – QB : No Explanation really needed. He is a Top 5 NFL QB and you really NEVER sit those guys. Projection – 335 Yards Passing – 4 TDs – 1 INTs – 18 Rushing Yards


Solid Starts :


Bears :

Jay Cutler – QB : There are 2 reasons that I am not putting one of the hottest QBs through 2 weeks as a lock start. The Packers defense is one of the best in the league, especially at hitting the QB. Cutler has been sacked 5 times already. Look for the Bears to try and double team Clay Matthews to keep him at bay thus leaving Cutler open to the crazy blitzes the Packers like to bring. 2nd reason – Cutler just has not performed well against the Packers. In 3 games against the Packers he has completed barely 55% of his passes and has been picked off 6 times while getting sacked 7 times. He’ll give you decent numbers, just don’t expect duplicate results from weeks 1 and 2. Projection – 249 Yards Passing – 2 TDs – 2 INTs

Matt Forte – RB : Man is Matt the happiest guy in Chicago since Mike Martz arrived or what? You don’t think Forte starting drooling thinking about all the ways that Martz was able to get the ball to Marshall Faulk in his offense in St. Louis. Forte is a dynamic talent who has shown in the past that he was dangerous catching the ball out of the backfield. It’s just that Martz is taking that talent to a whole new level. Keep in mind he’s going against the Packers D and not the Lions or Cowboys when you look to put him in the starting lineup. Can they work a plan to get him past the blitzing LBs and safeties into open space? We will see. Projection – 87 Yards rushing – 0 TDs – 7 Catches – 85 Yards Rec. – 1 TD – 1 FumLost

Packers:

Greg Jennings – WR : Green Bay’s stud WR is off to a slow start so far this season. However, he is an elite talent and isn’t going to be kept down for long. Part of the reason for the slow start has been Green Bay’s special teams getting solid field position. The other part is the Packers keeping their offense balanced between run and pass. Look for Jennings to make a statement Monday night. Play him as a low end WR 1 this week because the Bears are the 6th worst team so far this year against the pass and the best thus far against the run. Projection – 9 Catches – 132 Yards – 2 TDs

Jermichael Finley – TE : I am trying to write this article and be as objective as a cheesehead can be. However, when it comes to this stud, I want to start doing backflips when I think about someone with his talent level going against the soft middle of the Cover 2 of the Bears. So why you ask isn’t he a lock? Brian Urlacher. That’s why. Yes Urlacher is in the “decline” of his career, but he is still one of the best LBs covering TEs in todays game. I expect the Packers to go 3 wide with Driver, Jennings and a combination of Nelson and Jones. Going against the Cover 2, that should allow Finley to work almost solely 1 on 1 against Urlacher and that could be a matchup where Finley’s immense size will come into play. Projection – 6 Catches – 95 Yards – 1 TD

Brandon Jackson – RB : Again, this is me taking off my cheesehead long enough to write this article. I like Jackson a lot as a fill in for the injured Grant. However, this won’t be the week he steps up and produces superstar like stats. The Bears are just too stout against the rush and therefore the Packers will run just enough to keep the Bears honest. That’s great for Rodgers owners, not so much for Jackson owners who rushed to grab him off waivers when Grant was injured. Be patient Jackson owners, next week the Lions make the trip to Lambeau and their run defense is weak.  Projection - 17 Carries - 93 Yards - 1 TD - 4 Catches - 41 Yards

Bench Them :


Bears :

Devin Hester – WR : It’s simple. He is not a #1 WR. He probably isn’t even a #2 on most Super Bowl contending teams. He is not the dominant WR that makes other CBs shake when they line up across the line of scrimmage. CBs have learned that if you bump him off the line and don’t let him get up to speed, it takes his game down a level. He is a speed WR. His best talent was as a kick returner and punt returner and playing out of the slot as a #3 WR. Projection – 3 Catches – 58 Yards – 0 TDs

Greg Olsen – TE : I really liked Olsen coming out of college. For his whole career I have found ways to draft him late enough where “when he breaks out this season, I’ll cash in”. Well this season it finally hit me. That breakout probably won’t happen in Chicago. Especially not with Martz running the show. He just doesn’t like throwing to the TE often enough in his system to make Olsen a playable option on a week to week basis. Green Bay has solid LBs and safeties to cover him this week. Projection – 3 Catches – 41 Yards – 0 TDs

Packers :

Donald Driver - WR : I like Donald alot.  However, statistically the Bears always seem to find a way to hold him in check.  That's the reason I am so high on Finley this week.  Because them concentrating on trying to hold the WRs down, will allow him to thrive in the middle of the field.  This week Driver will make a solid decoy and a decent #3 WR, but I wouldn't count on much more from him.  In any given week, any of the Packers WR can score though so we'll have to watch and see.  Projection - 4 Catches - 61 Yards - 0 TDs

Defense and IDP :

Start the Green Bay defense. Look for them to hold the Bears under 20 points and force at least 3 turnovers while collecting 3 or 4 sacks of Cutler.

Start Nick Barnett, Clay Matthews, Lance Briggs and Brian Urlacher at LB. Nick Collins and Charles Tillman are strong starts in the DB field. Peppers is an iffy start. He has yet to show much burst so far this season and the Packers seem to be protecting Rodgers alittle better this season.

Friday, September 24, 2010

Week 3 Prep

This week's Prep is going to be brief. I will try to get back to the complete team capsule sit/starts next weekend. As usual you won't see Tom Brady or Peyton Manning on this list...just the players that are questionable starts.

QB Starts - Joe Flacco (Broadway Joe, he ain't!!) roll him out vs the browns cause if you can't start him this week then ya may as well can him.
Carson Palmer - Expect bigtime numbers
Romo - throw him out there and hope for a shootout.
Favre - let's go Brett...it's Detroit.
Vick - the jags are awful, use Vick now before he comes back to earth.
McNabb - it's the rams, of course!
Kyle Orton - at home vs the Colts he should be good.
Cutler - jump on this bandwagon while there's still room.
Eli Manning - big bounce back game at home on the way.


Start with Caution - Gradkowski - gut feeling tells me this guy has a decent game at the Cards. Hasselback - Matt seems to be a different QB at home so if you don't have a better option play him and you should be good to go.

QB Sit - Derek Anderson - this may be the week that he breaks out, but he makes too many mistakes to even play vs the Raiders
Charlie Batch - do you have to ask why?
Josh Freeman - time to play a real defense kid.
Henne and Sanchez...can't wait to see the game, but there's not gonna be alot of td's scored. Garrard - nice tease week 1! week 2...reality check.
Matty Ice - not in that building - Sheet happens in the Superdome...turnovers happen.
also Sit Vince Young, Alex Smith and Matt Cassell.


RB Starts
Mendenhall, B.Tolbert(in for Ryan Matthews), in ppr's start D.Sproles, MBarber(this guy is gonna break out soon), A.Foster, Brandon Jackson (still don't think he's a star, just startable cause he is in that offense), M.Forte (best WR on that team), S.Greene(see M.Barber), A.Bradshaw, Cedric Benson(finally has a nice game vs. Carolina), Pierre Thomas(no Bush makes owners smile), L.McCoy(showing monster improvement from last year), J.Best, becoming one of those players you start ever week.

Start with caution - DeAngelo Williams - Expecting big things this year...time to put up some #'s.



RB Sits

Jerome Harrison and Peyton Run for the Hillis, Thomas Jones, Cadillac Williams, Felix Jones, M.Turner, Stephen Jackson (both turner and sjax have some health concerns and bad matchups to boot). Jason Snelling, James Stewart(have been right about him all year, he was overdrafted and until I see otherwise he is not useable), Forsett(for the love of ppr lovers everywhere, show us something), LT.



WR Starts

H.Nicks and Steve Smith(nyg) - Smith making me nervous, is reaching sit territory in my book.
Anquan Boldin(breakout week), K.Walter (all the Jacoby Jones talk that limited his preseason value is now quiet), Maclin, Demaryius Thomas, Mike Sims-Walker, Louis Murphy and J.Knox. T.O. and Ocho-cinco, Meachum, Naanee, Driver(though I halfway expect Jennings to have the big game this week along with Finley and Driver to not score this week. thing is ya have to start him cause he's scored week one and two. Santana Moss, Steve Smith(car).

WR Sits
Mark Clayton, J.Cribbs and Massaquoi, Kenny Britt, Mike Wallace and Hines Ward (not til Big Ben comes back unless you have to). Lee Evans, D.Bowe(one of these clowns needs to step back into the world of viable fantasy WR), Gaffney, Berrian, Henderson, M.Jenkins, Garcon(tired of waiting, starting to think that Collie is no.2 on the manning checklist), Breaston, Mike Williams(sea), Aromashodu, D.Bess.

TE Starts - Cooley, T.Heap, Finley, Clark, Celek(gettin' worried), Carlson, Mercedes Lewis. Gresham.

TE Sits - H.Miller, Kwin, Fasano, Olsen, D.Keller

Goodluck to all in Wk 3

Tuesday, September 21, 2010

Bonehead Play of the Week - Week #2 - Toronto Argonauts vs. B.C. Lions

The NFL seemed to do alot better in Week #2 with not many bonehead plays as compared with Week #1. Apparently, Week 1s bonehead play carried over into the Cowboys game versus the Bears and affected their psyche that led to a home opener loss and an 0-2 start for the Cowboys. I am hanging on the 13% of those NFL teams that make it to the Super Bowl after opening 0-2. Houston you have a problem...I hope (fingers crossed).

We have to go north of the border for Week 2s Bonehead Play of the Week. This week's bonehead play goes to Toronto Argonaut's defensive end Ronald Flemons. You have to see it to believe. All I have to say is...Remember Leon?
 


I was curious to know if there was any possible link Leon Lett had with Ronald Flemons. Much to my surprise there was. They both are 6' 6" defensive ends that were drafted in the 7th round. So let this be a warning to all NFL teams that if your in the 7th round of the NFL draft and you need a defensive end make sure they are 6'5" or 6'7" and not 6'6" they may have a few blunders in them.

After watching this bonehead play after the announcers made a reference to Leon Lett's famous blunder in Super Bowl 27, I had to go back to the archives and watch it again. Leon Lett's famous two blunders will forever be etched in our minds. Leon not only had one major blunder but two in the same year. I found this video starring Emmitt Smith, Bill Bates, and Jimmy Johnson commenting on Leon's bonehead plays. Enjoy!



Thanks to the Show for tipping me off to this weeks bonehead play of the week.  I was getting worried I wasn't going to be able to find a decent bonehead play but the Show always delivers.  Until next week...don't be a bonehead.

BUSTED!! - Week 2

Week 2 of this NFL season is going to be remembered by for being the week of WR busts. Many a FFB manager woke up this morning to check their scores only to see 0-2 total points beside their WR names. Dudes they drafted that were suppose to be sleepers, not sleep through games, wide outs in top offenses sure to feast on weaker defenses, only to feast on your chances of winning your match up. Below is a list of players who flat out killed their owners this week and an opinion on whether or not I think this will be a reoccurring theme this season.



Lee Evans - WR, Buffalo Bills - with exactly ZERO catches for ZERO yards Lee Evans caused as many curses to be flung around this weekend as the score of the Cowboys game. Lee was set up for a monster day...his team was gonna get beat down by a superior foe (the Pack) and he was going to splurge his owners with multiple garbage time catches and possibly a score ...good times for all...well a funny thing happened on the way to 10 catches and 100+ yds receiving... T.Edwards made the mistake of thinking he can play football in the NFL. After disappointing owners 2 weeks straight now we are going to give Lee one more chance with a new starter in place Fitzpatrick...this guy did go to Harvard after all and surely he knows that to keep a starting QB job make your No.1 WR a target multiple times. I expect it to happen and this and only this next week will save Lee from a vacation on a whole bunch of waiver wires.



TJ Doush-for-Starting(Ravens,WR). No Catches, nada. TJ TJ TJ, you had me fooled...it was the old switch uniforms and make fantasy managers think you have game trick again!(Seattle fans are great at this game) I fall for that one all the time (see Jason Campbell). I don't know if I would drop TJ in deeper leagues, but the way Flacco is playing I would certainly consider it in 12 man leagues and in 10 man leagues...TJ wouldn't be on my team, not even my bench.



Aromashodu - WR, Bears, no catches week 2 - How many pre-2010 season experts were giving you the targets for Aromashodu the past few weeks of last season telling us that he had that chemistry with Jay Cutler. Have we not learned anything from last year. Two words - Earl Bennett - How many times did we hear Earl went to Vandy with Jay...draft him, he is a mega sleeper...sure he is.



Massaquoi - WR, Browns - for those of us who ran out Massaquoi this week we deserve what we got. a whopping 1 catch for 9 yds probably scored a big fat 0 in most leagues. What made me think that Seneca Wallace would turn into Bernie Kosar I have no idea. I'd rather wear a chicken wing costume in the dog pound than play Massachoke again.



Pierre Garcon' - WR - Colts. 1 catch for 11 yds. Out of all the horrendous performances this week this one disappointed me the most. I even told my 9 year old son he was a good start this weekend when he asked me what WR 3 to start in his league. Dear old dad is handing out piss poor start info to his kid thanks to Mr. Garcon. After showing glimpses of brilliance last year and some in this years preseason what's not to like about this athletic speedster playing opposite Reggie Wayne in the most prolific passing offense of the last 10 years? One problem could be that Peyton may have found his Wes Welker in Austin Collie. The jury is still out on Garcon', he has the tools to be huge, but I am officially worried about him being a monster bust.



Greg Jennings, WR, Packers - Now 3 catches and 35 yds and no score may be an ok day for a backup TE, Roscoe Parrish, Greg Camarillo, but for Jennings in a game where the Pack went up and down the field on Buffalo this was a massive disappointment. Greg had a couple of these last year and I am starting to think he is a feast or famine guy and if this continues he will be dropping down my rankings. What we need out of our first or second drafted WR's is consistency...not 35 yd performances vs bad teams.



Speaking of consistency...How does Hines Ward not catch a Batch of balls vs Tennesse? The dependable Ward graced us with a 1 catch for 9 yards, a mind blowing suckfest that made many of us a victim of the dreaded backup QB effect. Come back Big Ben! the owners of Ward, Wallace, Mendenhall and Miller need you. Buy low on Ward, Wallace and Ben.


Perennial Bust award: Bernard Berrian - why does anyone bother with this guy?


The Morning After Pill - Week 2

So if you’re like me, you are realizing by now that you made a few mistakes in at least one of your fantasy leagues. Perhaps your draft strategy that included a powerhouse offense of Brett Favre, Michael Turner, C.J. Spiller, Percy Harvin, and Tony Gonsales just isn’t working . Never fear. The Morning after Pill can’t erase the soreness you still feel from the weekend pounding, but it can help you dodge the consequences of your bad choices.


Consider what really wins championships in any fantasy football league. Is it a good draft? One word: Ryan Grant (ok, that's two -- my Joe Biden impression, there). Is it quick waiver wire vulture play? Nope (Hope you didn’t drop Fred Jackson for Jason Snelling). The secret to winning is simple: raid your opponents’ rosters like a Steeler quarterback in a coed dormitory.


I’m talking buy low, and sell, high, baby. You have to make those trades that can barely get past the commish because they are so unfair. And now is the time to do the dirty deeds that just won’t fly later in the season when we have consistent performances to judge. But to do it right, you must become a master of...


The Jedi Mind Trick


Observe:


video


Did he just say, “This is not the Lloyd you are looking for?”


If you can convince your sap friend to give up Malcom Floyd for Brandon Lloyd, you are a good padwan strong in the force. If you can sub Roydell Williams, you are a Jedi master. If you can swap in Carolina kicker Rhys Lloyd, you are a bad a$$ Sith.


But we are getting ahead of ourselves. The above scenario uses tip #5: Name Un-recognition. We need to start simpler.


Tip 1: The Jedi Mind Trick only works on the weak minded.


The first step is to choose your target sucker. This is pretty easy. Look for anyone in your league who is doing the following:


-Starting Buffalo Bills offensive players for any reason.


-Still talking smack on the boards about a Cowboys home Superbowl


-Still owns Matt Cassel.


-Still starting any fantasy RB against the Pittsburgh Steelers.


-Has a number in their team name to replace a word (like 2 instead of two). I just hate that and want to see them get screwed.


Just don’t get cocky. Heed this advice from Rex Ryan's post-game press conference:

video


That’s right, coach Ryan. It only works on the weak minded (has he lost weight?)


Tip 2: Talk down the player you want


“Hey, it’s too bad Jamaal Charles isn’t the starter. Let me take him off your hands. I really only need him as a backup to my ageless, beast keeper, Thomas Jones. Second round draft picks mean nothing after week 1.”


Tip 3: Talk up your player


“I’ll give you Hightower for Charles. He's a TD machine. You know Beanie is never going to play. Hey, If you want. I’ll take him off your hands as well.”


Now we are employing multiple strategies at once. This combo move also employs a more advanced tip: prey on the unfortunate.


Tip 4: Play Hard to Get


So what if you receive an offer, but you are a greedy bastich, like me, and want to sweeten the deal?


Observe the master once again:


video


Did he just say, “You don’t want to trade me Hakeem Nicks”?


Reverse psychology can be a powerful tool as well. Movie trivia, true story: In a deleted scene following the clip you just saw, Obi Wan goes out back and gets OBLITERATED on death sticks, but at a much cheaper price. Then he tells whiny Anakin to shove off and go pose for his fruity action figure.


The moral of the story is that if you are lucky enough to be the beneficiary of an offer from a weak minded fool, milk it like a lactating Mexican locker room reporter.


Tip 5: Name un-recognition


See opening paragraphs. Steve Smith. Nuff said.


Tip 6: Seduce others to join the dark side


Of course you can only go so far, even at the beginning of the season. You have to get past a commissioner or a league block. There are two possible solutions:

1) Corrupt the commish or the majority of the league by teaching them the ways of the dark side.

2) Screw over the commish. His ego won’t let him admit he’s been violated (even if you cries in the shower at home).

Until next week, happy trading, boy scouts!